Spain‘s two main political parties held fruitless talks to form a new government on Tuesday and acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said a new election – the third in less than a year – may be necessary.
Seven months of negotiations to form a new government have so far come to a dead-end, following national elections in December and June that left Spain with a hung parliament.
A meeting on Tuesday between the only two parties which together command enough seats in parliament to form a majority, the second-placed Socialists and Rajoy’s People’s Party (PP), yielded little.
Socialist leader Pedro Sanchez, after only his fourth head-to-head with Rajoy since December, reiterated his party would vote against a PP-led administration in an eventual parliamentary confidence vote.
Without at least an abstention by the Socialists – arch-rivals of the PP and its previous incarnations over the past four decades of democracy in Spain – the conservatives will struggle to get the majority they needs to allow Rajoy to govern.
“With this Socialist ‘no’, the situation remains blocked and this takes us to a third election,” Rajoy told a news conference.
The stand-off between the two parties is so acute Rajoy and Sanchez did not even detail when they might meet again, and they have yet to outline what broad reforms could provide the basis for an understanding, even with the Socialists in opposition.
Rajoy’s PP was stripped of its absolute majority in the December and June elections, after the rise of newer parties during an uneven recovery from recession splintered the political landscape.
A rapidly-approaching deadline to present 2017’s budget to Brussels by mid-October has added urgency to parties’ talks, as missing it would likely cause concern at a time when Spainfaces a major effort next year to trim its public deficit.
Spain‘s economic recovery has largely weathered the uncertainty, with a thriving tourism sector fuelling a jobs spurt that has in turn kept consumer spending on track.
The acting government last week raised growth prospects for 2016, though it also trimmed its outlook for 2017 as worries mount over the fallout from Britain’s vote to leave the European Union.
Economists also believe fading tailwinds including low oil prices currently favouring energy importers like Spain will make for a more challenging 2017.
Some Socialist insiders believe the party could eventually abstain in a parliamentary investiture vote, allowing the PP to form a minority government. But Rajoy has refused to face such a vote unless he has the Socialists’ support ahead of time, perpetuating a game of chicken between the two sides.
“The right-wing parties are the ones that have to reach an agreement, the left is not going to support the right,” Sanchez said.
Left-wing parties do not have enough seats to govern together while Rajoy may struggle to rope in smaller right-wing or centrist rivals, which include regional parties in the likes of Catalonia, where his government has cracked down on a separatist challenge.