Asian stock markets rose on Tuesday on relief that another round of Sino-U.S. sparring appears not to have spilled over into trade, while hopes for U.S. stimulus lent support to oil and commodity currencies.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan . was last up 1 per cent. Japan’s Nikkei returned from a holiday with a 1.7 per cent gain led by healthcare and industrial stocks and the Hang Seng bounced 2.2 per cent.
The risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars each lifted about 0.3 per cent, although they sit comfortably below recent milestone peaks as some trepidation muted their rise.
Investors are awaiting a meeting between top U.S. and Chinese trade officials on Saturday to review the first six months of the Phase 1 trade deal.
With China lagging far behind on energy and farm goods purchases from the United States, it could test markets’ assumption that the trade relationship is insulated from crumbling diplomatic ties between the two nations.
Yet there was palpable relief on Tuesday that China’s sanctions on 11 U.S. citizens – a response to U.S. sanctions on Chinese individuals over Beijing’s crackdown in Hong Kong – seemed to shut off the latest round of tit-for-tat moves.
“It has left the White House untouched,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics at Mizuho Bank in Singapore.
“That gives some relief that China is still giving some priority to the (trade deal) dialogue,” he said. “It’s just the sense that you’re not rocking the boat to the point of capsizing, that is the low bar today.”
Safe havens were under gentle pressure across the board. Gold slipped about 0.6 per cent to $2,015 an ounce and the U.S. bond market extended a recent selloff, with the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasuries at a two-week high of 0.5870 per cent.
Overnight Wall Street found some support after Trump signed executive orders to partly restore unemployment benefits after talks between the White House and top Democrats about fresh stimulus broke down last week.
The Dow rose 1 per cent and the S&P 500 inched ahead, while the Nasdaq sold off a little as investors trimmed some tech holdings in favour of value stocks.
The S&P 500 now sits less than 1 per cent below a record high hit in February, while in Asia the MSCI ex-Japan index is within 2 per cent of a January all-time peak.
The moves have pushed valuations in Asia to precipitous highs, about 20 per cent above post financial crisis averages. But Nomura’s Jim McCafferty in Hong Kong said the lofty levels are justified by an enormous shift in investor preferences.
“The composition of stock market indices across the region has dramatically changed,” he said. “Oil, telcos and banks used to dominate … now it is internet and tech.”
S&P 500 futures rose 0.3 per cent and oil traded firmly on hopes that a U.S. stimulus deal may yet be struck and anticipation of rising demand in Asia.
Brent crude futures were last up 0.4 per cent at $45.16 a barrel and U.S. crude rose 0.6 per cent to $42.18.
Besides the Aussie and Kiwi, other major currencies made very marginal gains on the dollar while the yen inched lower.
The euro last bought $1.1746 and the yen traded at 106.02 per dollar.