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Covid-19 traced as far back as September 2019 in Italy

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Evidence has begun to emerge that COVID-19 had been circulating around the world earlier than the pathogen was first reported in the central Chinese city of Wuhan.

In mid-June, a new antibody testing study by the U.S. National Institutes of Health, which analyzed more than 24,000 blood samples from all 50 U.S. states between Jan. 2 and March 12, 2020, found evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the country earlier than initial reports, which date back to late December 2019.

In early June, the World Health Organization requested an Italian research team re-test the samples in their study. Last November, Italy’s National Cancer Institute reported that it found evidence of COVID-19 antibodies in the blood of four Italian cancer test subjects in October 2019, meaning they would have been infected by the virus in September, while the first known patient in Italy was detected with infection on Feb. 21, 2020.

Dominic Dwyer, an Australian virologist with the University of Sydney, thinks that animals are the likely source of COVID-19, but it remains overhasty to reach a definitive conclusion right now, saying “the ‘gotcha’ evidence still eludes in what can take years.”

In the view of David Fidler, a global health researcher with the Council on Foreign Relations, a Washington-based think tank, it’s hard to expect COVID-19 origin investigations to reveal definitive data any time soon, according to a report published in the science journal Nature in late May.

The origins of most Ebola outbreaks remain mysterious, and researchers have spent 14 years nailing down evidence that the 2002-04 SARS epidemic was caused by a virus transmitted from bats to civets to humans, Fidler said.

In late March, the WHO released a report on the global tracing of COVID-19 origins, following a 28-day joint study in Wuhan by 34 experts from the WHO and China.

The experts assessed the likelihood of possible pathways, saying COVID-19 introduction through an intermediate host is “likely to very likely,” through cold/food chain products “possible,” and through a laboratory incident “extremely unlikely.”

Calling the report “a very important beginning,” WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said: “We have not yet found the source of the virus, and we must continue to follow the science and leave no stone unturned as we do.”

Danielle Anderson, who has extensive experience in bat-borne virus research, is the only foreign scientist to have worked in the high-security BSL-4 lab of the Wuhan Institute of Virology. In an interview with Bloomberg in June, Anderson rejected the lab-leak theory, saying, “If people were sick, I assume that I would have been sick — and I wasn’t.

Anderson also said that no one she knew at that time was ill. “We went to dinners together, lunches. We saw each other outside of the lab,” said the virologist, who feels “dumbfounded by the portrayal of the lab by some media outside China, and the toxic attacks on scientists that have ensued.”

Furthermore, Vladimir Dedkov, deputy director for scientific work at Russia’s Pasteur Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, recently told Xinhua that if the hypothesis of an artificial origin is investigated, then it is necessary to investigate all laboratories with viruses of this type, not only in China, but in other countries.

Only scientists who rely on international cooperation can clarify the question of the origins of new viruses, he added.

Some non-scientists are rushing to fabricate evidence in the name of science. U.S. President Joe Biden has tasked the U.S. intelligence community to produce a report on the origins of COVID-19 within 90 days, instead of offering assistance to the WHO and facilitating the worldwide hunt for the source of the virus, including in his own country.

Meanwhile, scientists are increasingly worried about the consequences of unfounded allegations, which will hinder origin-tracing work and undermine preparations for the next pandemic.

Earlier this month, two dozen prominent international scientists reiterated their belief that the coronavirus evolved naturally rather than escaped from a lab, in a letter published in The Lancet medical journal.

“Allegations and conjecture are of no help, as they do not facilitate access to information and objective assessment of the pathway from a bat virus to a human pathogen that might help to prevent a future pandemic,” they wrote. “Recrimination has not, and will not, encourage international cooperation and collaboration.”

“I concur with the many scientists who say that politicizing the science does not help genuine efforts to identify the origins of SARS-CoV-2, or ongoing collaboration between Chinese and Western scientists,” said Hume Field, a science and policy advisor for China and Southeast Asia at EcoHealth Alliance in New York.

It just generates “doubt” and “mistrust” and fundamentally undermines the united global effort needed to prevail against the virus and the pandemic, Field told Xinhua.

Similarly, Dedkov said politicizing the topic is purely counterproductive, urging his colleagues to work together to find the cause of the pandemic instead of blaming China without proof.

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