UK growth slows to six-month low as post-lockdown shortages bite

Britain’s post-lockdown economic rebound slowed sharply in August as companies struggled with unprecedented shortages of staff and materials, though strong inflation pressures cooled a bit, a survey showed on Monday.

The IHS Markit/CIPS flash composite PMI dropped for the third month in a row, sinking to 55.3 from 59.2 in July, its lowest since February and a sharper fall than a median forecast of 58.4 in a Reuters poll of economists.

The pace of growth was still slightly above the pre-pandemic average but IHS Markit said there were clear signs of the recovery losing momentum after a buoyant second quarter.

“Despite Covid-19 containment measures easing to the lowest since the pandemic began, rising virus case numbers are deterring many forms of spending, notably by consumers, and have hit growth via worsening staff and supply shortages,” Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit, said.

Companies have complained that self-isolation requirements for contacts of people with COVID-19 have made it hard for them to find staff but those requirements were dropped from August 13 for those fully vaccinated.

“Some businesses are finding recruitment difficult. With supply chain disruptions also persisting inflationary pressures remain a concern for now despite the slowdown in CPI inflation in July,” Lloyds Bank economist Rhys Herbert said.

On a brighter note, the PMI’s employment growth measure hit its highest since the series began in 1998 as furloughed workers return, and businesses were more optimistic about future output.

Data for the survey was collected between Aug. 12 and Aug. 19.