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Oil up on possible Russia cuts; inventories remain high

oil prices

Oil prices extended gains for a second session on Friday as the prospect of lower exports from Russia offset rising inventories in the United States.

Brent crude futures rose 66 cents, or 0.8 per cent, to $82.87 per barrel by 0715 GMT. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) rose 62 cents, or 0.8 per cent, to $76.01.

The benchmarks ended about 2 per cent higher in the previous session on Russia’s plans to cut oil exports from its western ports by up to 25 per cent in March, which exceeded its announced production cuts of 500,000 barrels per day.

“Higher-than-expected US crude oil inventories continue to challenge the oil demand outlook, but expectations for lower Russian production have an offsetting impact,” said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG.

US inventories are at their highest level since May 2021.

US crude stocks rose by 7.6 million barrels to about 479 million barrels in the week to Feb. 17, data from the US Energy Information Administration said.

For the week, oil prices are slightly lower, after the previous week’s about 4 per cent declines, dragged also by concerns about rising interest rates that could strengthen the dollar and curb fuel demand.

Minutes from the latest US Federal Reserve meeting indicated that a majority of officials remained hawkish on inflation and tight labour market conditions, signalling further monetary tightening.

The prospect of further rate hikes supported the dollar index, which was set for a fourth straight week of gains. The index is now up about 2.5 per cent for the month.

A firm dollar makes commodities priced in the greenback more expensive for holders of other currencies.

“The focus as we close the week will be on what happens with the next inflation report, will the market get more nervous on even more tightening from the Fed,” OANDA analyst Edward Moya said.

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