By Hermes Solomon
The Middle East is growing increasingly unstable daily. Even Turkey is struggling to contain the Kurdish threat. Cyprus must resolve the Cyprob satisfactorily lest she be drawn into stormy waters.
After a year of hectic activity/negotiations between the Republic of Cyprus and its pseudo breakaway state, is there hope of a Cyprob solution by the fourth quarter of 2016?
Leaders/captains on both sides of the centre circle broke tradition this Christmas by issuing joint statements/declarations confirming their fervent wish for a solution, avoiding any mention of content or a date for ‘the final showdown’.
Repeatedly reiterating willingness to settle without attaching substance is rather like a blind man speaking to a deaf audience; not all deaf spectators can lip read.
Are we being lulled by leaders into a de facto solution, its substance already decided by the UN/US/Turkey and Greece and bolstered by ‘bought’ sectors of the media, which treat us like halfwit spectators of an already ‘fixed’ match or mismatch, having exhausted the patience of both sides with the over 40 year Cyprob tussle leading nowhere?
Naturally, both teams want to keep possession of the ball, but a draw is the likely outcome of these ‘last ditch’ talks ahead of voting in two separate referenda to either accept or reject any ‘new look’ federation; either we rewrite the constitution or the south hangs on to its 1960 ‘rubbishy’ republic while the ‘visitors’ go it alone as a province of Turkey.
Negotiations do not seem to favour the Republic (the home team) when the ‘visitors’ already possess 38 per cent of the surface area of the pitch, which is to become uninhabitable for a vast majority of home team supporters (whether federation or permanent partition).
The ‘visitors’ have also flooded their portion of the pitch with mainland supporters – over 200,000 – thus acceding to their master/manager’s unsporting tactic of ethnic cleansing ahead of the ‘final match’.
Do the north’s managers secretly hope to continue to rule over their expropriated state – a non sequitur under international law? They do, and will, if we fail to vote them off the island
Most Cypriots want a solution but doubt its integrity. And it’s difficult to decide how to vote until leaders eventually unveil the details encapsulating the nitty gritty of any solution. Are we to expect more than, or the equivalent of, the 900 page Annan Plan, which few read and even fewer understood?
The ‘final match’ will be played by political rules, which will confuse us with legalese – that’s how the ‘for the motion’ politicians/lawyers will present their ‘game’.
A question yet to be asked is whether we have faith in our politicians to negotiate the best deal for all Cypriots.
The republic’s well documented and self-inflicted financial crisis and judicially yet unresolved bankster heists are just two examples of a society riddled with corruption. Can we have faith in a ‘bought’ media? Can we have faith in the failed state of Greece or an ambiguous Turkey? Can we believe that world powers are not at the ‘head’ of the negotiating table in the form of UN Secretary-General’s Special Adviser on Cyprus, Espen Barth Eide?
Do we seriously expect a bi-zonal, bi-communal federation to become a reality?
The answer is Yes if we succumb to the AKEL/DISY/Akinci/UN/EU coalition supported by ‘bought’ sectors of the media. By not succumbing, both sides will become vulnerable to outside forces. Cyprus must avoid the violent disruption of her neighbours, and if we vote No, we are inviting disruption; western interests lie in a unified Cyprus and they won’t take kindly to further delays.
If we want Turkey to let go of the north, we must vote them off the ‘pitch’. If either side vote No in the referenda then Turkey is here to stay with the blessing of the EU/US and UN.
We must accept that the 1960 republic is bankrupt, riddled with decades of corruption, dishonour and distrust. Trying to hang on to it is like closing the safe door after the thieves have bolted.
Voting Yes will be a new start for Cyprus and rid the island of the criminals on both sides since, with federation, we will be watching the north’s every move as they will be watching ours. And that’s not such a bad thing…